Publications - Chance and Data

Expository Writing

Watson, J., Fitzallen, N., Wilson, K., & Creed, J. (in press). The representational value of hats. Mathematics Teaching in the Middle School.

This article demonstrates the value of a recent graphing innovation, the hat plot, in representing and interpreting data sets.

Watson, J.M. (2007). The foundations of chance and data. Australian Primary Mathematics Classroom, 12(1), 4-7.

The fortunes of chance and data have fluctuated in the mathematics curriculum in Australia since their emergence in the National Statement (Australian Education Council [AEC], 1991) in the early 1990s. Their appearance in Australia followed closely on similar moves in the United States (National Council of Teachers of Mathematics [NCTM], 1989). In both countries the topics, taken together, were given a section status equal to other areas of the mathematics curriculum, such as space or algebra. In Australia this was reflected in the state curricula of many states (e.g., Department of Education and the Arts [DEA], 1993; Curriculum Council, 1998) but not all (e.g., Board of Studies NSW, 1989). In recent years chance and data have held their place in the United States (NCTM, 2000) but in some places in Australia have been diluted by being merged with other parts of the curriculum, for example both chance and data with measurement (e.g., Victoria Curriculum and Assessment Authority, 2005) or chance with number (Board of Studies NSW, 2002). As discussions proceed on national consistency across the state mathematics curricula in Australia, the place of chance and data appears to be in further jeopardy. Whether this is due perhaps to a lack of appreciation of the need for statistical literacy skills in all students who leave school (see e.g., Rubin, 2005) or perhaps to a traditional concern to cater for the elite mathematics talent who will study mathematics at university, is beyond the scope of this article to consider.

Watson, J.M., & Shaughnessy, J.M. (2004). Proportional reasoning: Lessons from research in data and chance. Mathematics Teaching in the Middle School, 10, 104-109.

Fenton, P., & Watson, J. (2001). Triangular numbers: Fact or fiction? Australian Primary Mathematics Classroom, 6(1), 10-14.

Watson, J.M. (2002). When 2 + 2 ≠ 4 and 6 + 6 ≠ 12 in data and chance. New England Mathematics Journal, 34(2), 56-68.


This article contains two cautionary tales based on my experience working with students, adults, and teachers on research and professional development projects involving data and chance. The first arose from observing two grade 9 boys who ignored instructions and then tried to supplement samples of size two with other samples of size two in order to make samples of size four. The second was related to several observations of students and adults expressing beliefs about dice-tossing that were contrary to my expectations: either expecting peaks in distributions that should be uniform or expecting uniformity in distributions that should be peaked. The solution to the dilemmas presented in these two tales would appear to be the creation of cognitive conflict to illustrate forcefully the importance of sample size and the difference between equally likely and non-equally likely outcomes. To handle the situations however, teachers need to be aware that these beliefs may be abroad, to experience the activities that can lead to conflict resolution, and then to plan their own strategies.


Watson, J.M. (2004). Quantitative literacy in the media: An arena for problem solving. Australian Mathematics Teacher, 60(1), 34-40.

Watson, J.M., & Shaughnessy, J.M. (2004). Proportional reasoning: Lessons from research in data and chance. Mathematics Teaching in the Middle School, 10, 104-109.

Watson, J.M. (2002). Lessons from variation research II: For the classroom. In M. Goos & T. Spencer (Eds.), Mathematics – making waves. (Proceedings of the Nineteenth Biennial Conference of the Australian Association of Mathematics Teachers Inc., Brisbane, pp. 424-432). Adelaide, SA: AAMT, Inc.


This workshop will feature various activities devised as part of a research project studying students’ understanding of variation and their improved outcomes following a chance and data unit emphasising variation. The activities arose from interview protocols and survey items used with students, from lessons taught by project teachers, or from professional development sessions led by the author with teachers. Each will be presented with a curriculum mapping associated with the topics in the chance and data curriculum. The stacked dot plot (or line plot) will be introduced as a straightforward means of representing data and displaying variation.

Other work: The Chance and Data Professional Development CD

Produced: September 1996

Development, production, delivery and evaluation of a Professional Development (PD) package for teachers of Chance & Data. The PD integrated package of materials includes a multimedia CD-ROM. The CD-ROM includes curriculum documents, classroom activities, as well as many examples of student responses to a variety of questions from research surveys and video-taped interviews. Teachers will undertake PD using the PD package, with support offered for content and technical aspects. Evaluation of the PD package and its effectiveness for PD of teachers was based on responses from teachers.


 

 

Contact me...


Faculty of Education
University of Tasmania
Private Bag 66 Hobart Tasmania Australia 7001
Phone: 61-3-6226-2570; Fax: 61-3-6226-2569
Jane.Watson@utas.edu.au